Stoke City vs Derby County prediction | 16 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Stoke City
Ranking: #396 overall, #49 in England

62.0 → 59.7 (-2.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 25 Apr Portsmouth (H) 60.6 0.0
2-0 02 May Bristol City (A) 60.1 -0.5
1-2 15 Aug Swansea City (H) 60.2 +0.1
3-1 22 Aug Southampton (A) 59.9 -0.3
4-1 29 Aug Wolves (A) 59.7 -0.2
Derby County
Ranking: #261 overall, #37 in England

66.4 → 63.6 (-2.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 25 Apr QPR (A) 65.7 -0.8
1-2 02 May Sheff Utd (H) 65.8 +0.1
2-1 15 Aug Charlton (A) 65.7 -0.1
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4

Stoke City vs Derby County: by the numbers

There are 135 places between these two in our European rankings, with Derby County the higher, and 12 places between them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Stoke City have moved -2.3 rating points, against -2.8 for Derby County.

Derby County gained 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 6 Apr 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Stoke City have ever held is 75.0, first set on 12 Aug 2017.

Derby County first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 23 Dec 2018.