Stoke City vs Derby County prediction | 16 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Stoke City
Ranking: #417 overall, #49 in England

60.2 → 59.1 (-1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 08 Sep Cardiff City (A) 59.3 -0.7
1-2 12 Sep Watford (A) 60.3 +1.0
2-1 19 Sep Sheff Utd (H) 60.5 +0.2
1-2 10 Oct Bolton (A) 59.5 -1.0
2-3 13 Oct Boro (H) 59.1 -0.4
Derby County
Ranking: #289 overall, #39 in England

65.7 → 63.1 (-2.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 Sep West Brom (H) 64.0 +0.6
1-2 12 Sep Birmingham (H) 62.9 -1.1
1-1 19 Sep Burnley (A) 64.1 +1.2
1-1 10 Oct Wrexham (H) 63.3 -0.8
4-1 14 Oct QPR (A) 63.1 -0.2

Stoke City vs Derby County: by the numbers

There are 128 places between these two in our European rankings, with Derby County the higher, and 10 places between them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Stoke City have moved -1.1 rating points, against -2.6 for Derby County.

Derby County gained 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 6 April 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Stoke City have ever held is 75.0, first set on 12 August 2017.

Derby County first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 23 December 2018.