Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction | 17 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Napoli
Ranking: #39 overall, #7 in Italy

81.1 → 79.7 (-1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 02 May Como (A) 80.1 -0.5
2-3 11 May Bologna (H) 79.4 -0.7
0-3 17 May Pisa (A) 79.4 0.0
1-0 24 May Udinese (H) 79.8 +0.4
0-2 22 Aug Genoa (A) 79.7 -0.1
Fiorentina
Ranking: #59 overall, #9 in Italy

77.1 → 76.0 (-1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 10 May Genoa (H) 77.0 +0.1
0-2 17 May Juventus (A) 76.7 -0.3
1-1 22 May Atalanta (H) 76.4 -0.3
4-0 24 Aug Roma (A) 75.8 -0.6
0-3 29 Aug Frosinone (H) 76.0 +0.2

Napoli vs Fiorentina: by the numbers

There are 20 places between these two in our European rankings, with Napoli the higher, and 2 places between them in Italy.

The recent trend shows Fiorentina on the rise, -1.1 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Napoli has gone the other way at -1.4.

Last time these teams played, on 31 Jan 2026, Napoli came away with their rating unchanged.

The best xGtoday rating Napoli have ever held is 91.4, first set on 8 Dec 2018.

The highest Fiorentina have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #15, first reached on 12 Dec 2018.