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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
67.3 → 70.1 (+2.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar NK Celje (H) | 69.1 -0.5 | |
| 09 Apr Rayo (A) | 68.8 -0.3 | |
| 16 Apr Rayo (H) | 69.6 +0.8 | |
| 08 Sep LASK (H) | 70.0 +0.4 | |
| 14 Oct Shakhtar (A) | 70.1 +0.1 |
82.2 → 83.0 (+0.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep Fenerbahçe (A) | 83.6 -1.1 | |
| 14 Sep Torino (A) | 84.0 +0.4 | |
| 19 Sep Inter (H) | 83.3 -0.7 | |
| 11 Oct Como (A) | 83.2 -0.1 | |
| 14 Oct Real Madrid (H) | 83.0 -0.2 |
Roma sit 116 places above AEK Athens FC in our European rankings.
AEK Athens FC arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.8 rating points over their last 10 matches against Roma's +0.8.
AEK Athens FC first climbed to joint #129 in our European rankings on 11 September 2026.
The best xGtoday rating Roma have ever held is 88.1, first set on 27 July 2017.