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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
83.1 → 83.0 (-0.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 02 May Napoli (H) | 83.6 +0.5 | |
| 10 May Verona (A) | 83.1 -0.5 | |
| 17 May Parma (H) | 83.3 +0.2 | |
| 24 May Cremonese (A) | 83.7 +0.4 | |
| 22 Aug Udinese (A) | 83.0 -0.7 |
95.3 → 92.5 (-2.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 13 May Lens (A) | 93.2 -1.4 | |
| 17 May Paris FC (A) | 91.5 -1.7 | |
| 30 May Arsenal (H) | 92.4 +0.9 | |
| 23 Aug Rennes (A) | 92.8 +0.4 | |
| 28 Aug Lille (A) | 92.5 -0.3 |
There are 19 places between these two in our European rankings, with Paris Saint-Germain the higher.
Como arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Paris Saint-Germain's -2.8.
The best xGtoday rating Como have ever held is 84.0, first set on 12 Apr 2026.
Paris Saint-Germain first climbed to #1 in our European rankings on 11 Mar 2025.