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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
71.6 → 73.2 (+1.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan FCSB (A) | 72.2 -0.5 | |
| 19 Feb Nottm Forest (H) | 71.3 -0.9 | |
| 26 Feb Nottm Forest (A) | 72.4 +1.1 | |
| 10 Sep Roma (H) | 73.4 +1.0 | |
| 14 Oct Aston Villa (A) | 73.2 -0.2 |
80.1 → 81.0 (+0.9 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep Betis (H) | 80.2 -1.5 | |
| 17 Sep Málaga (A) | 81.2 +1.0 | |
| 20 Sep Levante (H) | 81.8 +0.6 | |
| 10 Oct Real Madrid (A) | 81.7 -0.1 | |
| 13 Oct Napoli (H) | 81.0 -0.7 |
Villarreal CF sit 57 places above Fenerbahçe SK in our European rankings.
Fenerbahçe SK arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.6 rating points over their last 10 matches against Villarreal CF's +0.9.
Fenerbahçe SK first climbed to joint #85 in our European rankings on 11 December 2025.
Villarreal CF first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 85.6 on 16 March 2022.