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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
70.5 → 72.4 (+1.9 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec Brann (A) | 73.0 +1.2 | |
| 22 Jan Aston Villa (H) | 72.7 -0.3 | |
| 29 Jan FCSB (A) | 72.2 -0.5 | |
| 19 Feb Nottm Forest (H) | 71.3 -0.9 | |
| 26 Feb Nottm Forest (A) | 72.4 +1.1 |
82.1 → 82.4 (+0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 17 May Rayo (A) | 80.5 -0.3 | |
| 24 May Atl Madrid (H) | 81.1 +0.6 | |
| 16 Aug Racing Sant (A) | 80.1 -1.0 | |
| 23 Aug Atl Madrid (A) | 81.6 +1.5 | |
| 28 Aug Alavés (A) | 82.4 +0.8 |
Villarreal CF sit 82 places above Fenerbahçe SK in our European rankings.
Fenerbahçe SK arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.9 rating points over their last 10 matches against Villarreal CF's +0.3.
Fenerbahçe SK first climbed to joint #85 in our European rankings on 11 Dec 2025.
Villarreal CF first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 85.6 on 16 Mar 2022.