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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
82.5 → 84.0 (+1.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 May Nantes (H) | 82.1 -0.7 | |
| 13 May PSG (H) | 83.5 +1.4 | |
| 17 May Lyon (A) | 83.2 -0.3 | |
| 22 Aug Auxerre (H) | 83.4 +0.2 | |
| 29 Aug Strasbourg (A) | 84.0 +0.6 |
91.2 → 91.0 (-0.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 13 May Crystal Palace (H) | 91.1 +0.3 | |
| 19 May Bournemouth (A) | 90.5 -0.6 | |
| 24 May Aston Villa (H) | 89.7 -0.8 | |
| 23 Aug Bournemouth (H) | 90.1 +0.4 | |
| 28 Aug Crystal Palace (A) | 91.0 +0.9 |
Manchester City sit 15 places above RC Lens in our European rankings.
RC Lens arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.5 rating points over their last 10 matches against Manchester City's -0.2.
RC Lens first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 84.0 on 29 Aug 2026.
Manchester City first climbed to #1 in our European rankings on 26 Jul 2018.