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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
83.5 → 81.3 (-2.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep Slavia Praha (A) | 83.3 0.0 | |
| 13 Sep Le Mans (A) | 82.2 -1.1 | |
| 18 Sep Monaco (A) | 81.8 -0.4 | |
| 09 Oct Lyon (H) | 81.8 0.0 | |
| 13 Oct Sporting CP (H) | 81.3 -0.5 |
90.5 → 91.2 (+0.7 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep Porto (A) | 91.6 +0.7 | |
| 13 Sep Man United (A) | 91.6 0.0 | |
| 20 Sep Sunderland (H) | 90.4 -1.2 | |
| 11 Oct Liverpool (A) | 90.8 +0.4 | |
| 14 Oct PSG (H) | 91.2 +0.4 |
Manchester City sit 25 places above RC Lens in our European rankings.
Manchester City arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.7 rating points over their last 10 matches against RC Lens's -2.2.
RC Lens first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 84.0 on 29 August 2026.
Manchester City first climbed to #1 in our European rankings on 26 July 2018.