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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
78.8 → 77.0 (-1.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 17 May Barcelona (A) | 79.1 +0.5 | |
| 23 May Levante (H) | 78.0 -1.1 | |
| 21 Aug Real Sociedad (H) | 77.6 -0.4 | |
| 25 Aug Valencia (A) | 77.5 -0.1 | |
| 29 Aug Levante (A) | 77.0 -0.5 |
95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 May West Ham (A) | 93.9 -0.4 | |
| 18 May Burnley (H) | 93.9 0.0 | |
| 24 May Crystal Palace (A) | 94.5 +0.6 | |
| 30 May PSG (A) | 93.6 -0.9 | |
| 21 Aug Coventry (H) | 93.7 +0.1 |
There are 50 places between these two in our European rankings, with Arsenal the higher.
The recent trend shows Real Betis on the rise, -1.8 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Arsenal has gone the other way at -2.2.
Real Betis first climbed to joint #26 in our European rankings on 21 Dec 2021.
The best xGtoday rating Arsenal have ever held is 96.8, first set on 7 Feb 2026.