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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
72.5 → 71.8 (-0.7 over last 2 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep Man United (A) | 72.5 -0.2 | |
| 13 Oct Slavia Praha (H) | 71.8 -0.7 |
79.4 → 80.6 (+1.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep Arsenal (H) | 78.9 -0.7 | |
| 13 Sep Bologna (H) | 79.4 +0.5 | |
| 20 Sep Fiorentina (A) | 79.7 +0.3 | |
| 10 Oct Frosinone (H) | 79.9 +0.2 | |
| 13 Oct Villarreal (A) | 80.6 +0.7 |
There are 75 places between these two in our European rankings, with Napoli the higher.
Napoli arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.2 rating points over their last 10 matches; Sabah FK have moved -0.7 over their last 2.
The best xGtoday rating Sabah FK have ever held is 72.7, first set on 6 August 2026.
Napoli first climbed to joint #3 in our European rankings on 15 March 2023.