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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
85.1 → 83.9 (-1.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 24 May Arsenal (H) | 84.3 -0.6 | |
| 27 May Rayo (H) | 84.9 +0.6 | |
| 22 Aug Everton (A) | 85.5 +0.6 | |
| 28 Aug Man City (H) | 84.7 -0.8 | |
| 05 Sep Fulham (A) | 83.9 -0.8 |
69.2 → 68.0 (-1.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov Legia Warsaw (A) | 69.5 0.0 | |
| 11 Dec Craiova (A) | 69.5 0.0 | |
| 18 Dec Aberdeen (H) | 69.7 +0.2 | |
| 12 Mar AZ Alkmaar (A) | 69.1 -0.6 | |
| 19 Mar AZ Alkmaar (H) | 68.0 -1.1 |
There are 153 places between these two in our European rankings, with Crystal Palace the higher.
Crystal Palace first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 87.4 on 26 Oct 2025.
The highest AC Sparta Praha have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #126, first reached on 23 Oct 2025.