Arsenal vs Newcastle United prediction | 23 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

94.5 → 94.8 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 Sep Napoli (A) 94.9 +0.6
0-2 12 Sep Sunderland (A) 94.5 -0.4
3-0 19 Sep Brighton (A) 94.5 0.0
2-1 10 Oct Leeds Utd (H) 94.7 +0.2
3-0 13 Oct Lille (H) 94.8 +0.1
Newcastle United
Ranking: #27 overall, #13 in England

85.5 → 81.6 (-3.9 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-2 29 Aug Tottenham (A) 83.7 -0.3
2-2 05 Sep Bournemouth (H) 83.1 -0.6
4-1 14 Sep Leeds Utd (A) 82.5 -0.6
2-1 19 Sep Hull City (H) 81.7 -0.8
4-1 12 Oct Coventry (A) 81.6 -0.1

Arsenal vs Newcastle United: by the numbers

There are 25 places between these two in our European rankings, with Arsenal the higher, and 12 places between them in England.

Arsenal arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Newcastle United's -3.9.

Arsenal lost 0.8 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 25 April 2026.

The highest Arsenal have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 14 February 2024.

Newcastle United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.2 on 25 October 2025.