Arsenal vs Newcastle United prediction | 23 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 10 May West Ham (A) 93.9 -0.4
1-0 18 May Burnley (H) 93.9 0.0
1-2 24 May Crystal Palace (A) 94.5 +0.6
1-1 30 May PSG (A) 93.6 -0.9
3-0 21 Aug Coventry (H) 93.7 +0.1
Newcastle United
Ranking: #20 overall, #10 in England

85.8 → 83.7 (-2.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 May Nottm Forest (A) 85.8 +0.3
3-1 17 May West Ham (H) 85.9 +0.1
2-0 24 May Fulham (A) 84.9 -1.0
2-2 23 Aug Liverpool (H) 84.0 -0.9
0-2 29 Aug Tottenham (A) 83.7 -0.3

Arsenal vs Newcastle United: by the numbers

There are 18 places between these two in our European rankings, with Arsenal the higher, and 9 places between them in England.

Newcastle United arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -2.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Arsenal's -2.2.

Arsenal lost 0.8 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 25 Apr 2026.

The highest Arsenal have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 14 Feb 2024.

Newcastle United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.2 on 25 Oct 2025.