Derby County vs Millwall prediction | 23 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Derby County
Ranking: #289 overall, #39 in England

65.7 → 63.1 (-2.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 Sep West Brom (H) 64.0 +0.6
1-2 12 Sep Birmingham (H) 62.9 -1.1
1-1 19 Sep Burnley (A) 64.1 +1.2
1-1 10 Oct Wrexham (H) 63.3 -0.8
4-1 14 Oct QPR (A) 63.1 -0.2
Millwall
Ranking: #172 overall, #25 in England

67.2 → 67.8 (+0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 12 Sep Blackburn (A) 67.1 +0.2
2-2 15 Sep Boro (A) 67.7 +0.6
2-2 19 Sep West Ham (H) 68.5 +0.8
0-1 10 Oct Preston (A) 68.6 +0.1
0-1 13 Oct Swansea City (H) 67.8 -0.8

Derby County vs Millwall: by the numbers

Derby County trail Millwall by 117 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 14 in England.

Millwall arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.6 rating points over their last 10 matches against Derby County's -2.6.

Last time these teams played, on 10 March 2026, Derby County lost 0.2 rating points.

The highest Derby County have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #147, first reached on 23 December 2018.

Millwall first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 70.4 on 3 July 2020.