Derby County vs Millwall prediction | 23 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Derby County
Ranking: #261 overall, #37 in England

66.4 → 63.6 (-2.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 25 Apr QPR (A) 65.7 -0.8
1-2 02 May Sheff Utd (H) 65.8 +0.1
2-1 15 Aug Charlton (A) 65.7 -0.1
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4
Millwall
Ranking: #180 overall, #27 in England

64.8 → 67.3 (+2.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 08 May Hull City (A) 67.2 0.0
0-2 11 May Hull City (H) 66.0 -1.2
0-2 15 Aug Bristol City (A) 67.2 +1.2
3-0 22 Aug Norwich City (H) 68.0 +0.8
5-1 29 Aug Southampton (A) 67.3 -0.7

Derby County vs Millwall: by the numbers

Derby County trail Millwall by 81 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 10 in England.

Millwall arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.5 rating points over their last 10 matches against Derby County's -2.8.

Last time these teams played, on 10 Mar 2026, Derby County lost 0.2 rating points.

The highest Derby County have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #147, first reached on 23 Dec 2018.

Millwall first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 70.4 on 3 Jul 2020.