Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund prediction | 23 Jan 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Hamburger SV Rating: 71.0
H
19%
23 January 2027
Bundesliga
D
24%
Borussia Dortmund Rating: 85.2
A
57%
Hamburger SV
Ranking: #122 overall, #20 in Germany

69.9 → 71.0 (+1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 29 Aug Dortmund (A) 71.3 +0.1
0-5 06 Sep Mainz 05 (H) 70.3 -1.0
5-0 13 Sep RB Leipzig (A) 70.2 -0.1
2-1 19 Sep Köln (H) 70.2 0.0
2-3 10 Oct Hoffenheim (A) 71.0 +0.8
Borussia Dortmund
Ranking: #11 overall, #2 in Germany

83.8 → 85.2 (+1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-2 08 Sep Villarreal (H) 85.2 +0.4
3-0 12 Sep Paderborn 07 (H) 85.3 +0.1
0-1 19 Sep Stuttgart (A) 85.6 +0.3
2-2 09 Oct Bremen (H) 85.7 +0.1
1-0 14 Oct Bodø/Glimt (A) 85.2 -0.5

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund: by the numbers

Borussia Dortmund sit 111 places above Hamburger SV in our European rankings, and 18 places above them in Germany.

Over their last 10 matches Borussia Dortmund have moved +1.4 rating points, against +1.1 for Hamburger SV.

Last time these teams played, on 29 August 2026, Hamburger SV gained 0.1 rating points.

The highest Hamburger SV have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #51, first reached on 16 February 2020.

Borussia Dortmund first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.7 on 23 September 2017.