Leeds United vs Chelsea prediction | 23 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Leeds United
Ranking: #22 overall, #10 in England

83.9 → 82.4 (-1.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 30 Aug Brentford (H) 81.5 -0.2
1-1 05 Sep Brighton (A) 82.1 +0.6
4-1 14 Sep Newcastle (H) 82.7 +0.6
0-0 20 Sep Crystal Palace (H) 82.6 -0.1
2-1 10 Oct Arsenal (A) 82.4 -0.2
Chelsea
Ranking: #15 overall, #6 in England

87.9 → 84.6 (-3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-3 30 Aug Brighton (H) 87.3 +0.7
2-1 06 Sep Arsenal (A) 86.9 -0.4
2-2 12 Sep Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4

Leeds United vs Chelsea: by the numbers

Leeds United trail Chelsea by 7 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 4 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Leeds United have moved -1.5 rating points, against -3.3 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 10 February 2026, Chelsea gained 0.5 rating points.

Leeds United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 84.2 on 18 April 2026.

Chelsea first climbed to #2 in our European rankings on 5 May 2021.