SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 prediction | 23 Jan 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

SC Paderborn 07 Rating: 71.2
H
28%
23 January 2027
Bundesliga
D
28%
1. FSV Mainz 05 Rating: 80.3
A
44%
SC Paderborn 07
Ranking: #118 overall, #19 in Germany

71.6 → 71.2 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 29 Aug Mainz 05 (A) 72.3 +0.1
0-1 05 Sep Freiburg (H) 72.0 -0.3
3-0 12 Sep Dortmund (A) 71.8 -0.2
3-1 20 Sep Hoffenheim (H) 71.4 -0.4
0-2 10 Oct Stuttgart (H) 71.2 -0.2
1. FSV Mainz 05
Ranking: #36 overall, #6 in Germany

78.2 → 80.3 (+2.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 29 Aug Paderborn 07 (H) 79.3 -0.1
0-5 06 Sep Hamburg (A) 80.3 +1.0
1-3 12 Sep Frankfurt (H) 79.9 -0.4
3-4 19 Sep Gladbach (A) 79.5 -0.4
3-4 10 Oct Leverkusen (H) 80.3 +0.8

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05: by the numbers

There are 82 places between these two in our European rankings, with 1. FSV Mainz 05 the higher, and 13 places between them in Germany.

1. FSV Mainz 05 arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against SC Paderborn 07's -0.4.

Last time these teams played, on 29 August 2026, 1. FSV Mainz 05 lost 0.1 rating points.

The highest SC Paderborn 07 have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #72, first reached on 2 October 2025.

1. FSV Mainz 05 first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 80.7 on 31 August 2025.