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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
83.1 → 83.0 (-0.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 02 May Napoli (H) | 83.6 +0.5 | |
| 10 May Verona (A) | 83.1 -0.5 | |
| 17 May Parma (H) | 83.3 +0.2 | |
| 24 May Cremonese (A) | 83.7 +0.4 | |
| 22 Aug Udinese (A) | 83.0 -0.7 |
81.1 → 79.7 (-1.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 02 May Como (A) | 80.1 -0.5 | |
| 11 May Bologna (H) | 79.4 -0.7 | |
| 17 May Pisa (A) | 79.4 0.0 | |
| 24 May Udinese (H) | 79.8 +0.4 | |
| 22 Aug Genoa (A) | 79.7 -0.1 |
Napoli trail Como by 17 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 3 in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Como have moved -0.1 rating points, against -1.4 for Napoli.
Como gained 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 2 May 2026.
The best xGtoday rating Como have ever held is 84.0, first set on 12 Apr 2026.
Napoli first climbed to joint #3 in our European rankings on 15 Mar 2023.