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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
87.2 → 87.8 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep Atl Madrid (H) | 87.3 0.0 | |
| 12 Sep Fulham (H) | 87.3 0.0 | |
| 20 Sep Bournemouth (A) | 88.0 +0.7 | |
| 11 Oct Man City (H) | 87.6 -0.4 | |
| 14 Oct LASK (A) | 87.8 +0.2 |
83.5 → 81.3 (-2.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep Slavia Praha (A) | 83.3 0.0 | |
| 13 Sep Le Mans (A) | 82.2 -1.1 | |
| 18 Sep Monaco (A) | 81.8 -0.4 | |
| 09 Oct Lyon (H) | 81.8 0.0 | |
| 13 Oct Sporting CP (H) | 81.3 -0.5 |
Liverpool sit 23 places above RC Lens in our European rankings.
Liverpool arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.6 rating points over their last 10 matches against RC Lens's -2.2.
The best xGtoday rating Liverpool have ever held is 97.6, first set on 1 February 2025.
The highest RC Lens have ever stood in our European rankings is #19, first reached on 29 August 2026.