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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
88.9 → 87.8 (-1.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 May Chelsea (H) | 87.6 -0.1 | |
| 15 May Aston Villa (A) | 87.2 -0.4 | |
| 24 May Brentford (H) | 87.7 +0.5 | |
| 23 Aug Newcastle (A) | 88.6 +0.9 | |
| 29 Aug Nottm Forest (H) | 87.8 -0.8 |
82.5 → 84.0 (+1.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 May Nantes (H) | 82.1 -0.7 | |
| 13 May PSG (H) | 83.5 +1.4 | |
| 17 May Lyon (A) | 83.2 -0.3 | |
| 22 Aug Auxerre (H) | 83.4 +0.2 | |
| 29 Aug Strasbourg (A) | 84.0 +0.6 |
Liverpool sit 12 places above RC Lens in our European rankings.
RC Lens arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.5 rating points over their last 10 matches against Liverpool's -1.1.
The best xGtoday rating Liverpool have ever held is 97.6, first set on 1 Feb 2025.
The highest RC Lens have ever stood in our European rankings is #19, first reached on 29 Aug 2026.