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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
63.8 → 62.4 (-1.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 26 AEK Athens (H) | 62.9 -1.4 | |
| 19 Mar 26 AEK Athens (A) | 63.4 +0.5 | |
| 16 Sep 26 Leverkusen (A) | 63.3 -0.1 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Omonoia (H) | 62.2 -1.1 | |
| 22 Oct 26 RB Salzburg (H) | 62.4 +0.2 |
67.8 → 64.2 (-3.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 26 Ajax (A) | 63.8 -0.1 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Levski Sofia (H) | 64.0 +0.2 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Fortuna (H) | 64.5 +0.5 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Din Zagreb (A) | 64.1 -0.4 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Groningen (H) | 64.2 +0.1 |
NK Celje trail NEC Nijmegen by 63 places in our proprietary European rankings.
NK Celje arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -1.4 rating points over their last 10 matches against NEC Nijmegen's -3.6.
NK Celje first climbed to joint #229 in our European rankings on 4 November 2025.
NEC Nijmegen first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 68.3 on 15 August 2026.