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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
64.3 → 63.4 (-0.9 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec Shelbourne (H) | 63.8 +0.1 | |
| 19 Feb FC Drita (A) | 64.0 +0.2 | |
| 26 Feb FC Drita (H) | 64.3 +0.3 | |
| 12 Mar AEK Athens (H) | 62.9 -1.4 | |
| 19 Mar AEK Athens (A) | 63.4 +0.5 |
67.2 → 67.1 (-0.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug Telstar (H) | 67.8 -0.2 | |
| 15 Aug Willem II (A) | 68.3 +0.5 | |
| 29 Aug Zwolle (A) | 68.0 -0.3 | |
| 05 Sep Feyenoord (H) | 67.8 -0.2 | |
| 08 Sep Excelsior (H) | 67.1 -0.7 |
NK Celje trail NEC Nijmegen by 87 places in our proprietary European rankings.
NEC Nijmegen arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against NK Celje's -0.9.
NK Celje first climbed to joint #229 in our European rankings on 4 Nov 2025.
NEC Nijmegen first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 68.3 on 15 Aug 2026.