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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
85.5 → 85.5 (0.0 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 26 Milan (A) | 85.4 -0.3 | |
| 20 Sep 26 Porto (A) | 84.9 -0.5 | |
| 11 Oct 26 Vitória (H) | 85.1 +0.2 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Celtic (H) | 85.3 +0.2 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Omonoia (A) | 85.5 +0.2 |
73.1 → 71.9 (-1.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 26 Feyenoord (A) | 72.0 -0.4 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Be'er Sheva (H) | 72.3 +0.3 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Cambuur (A) | 71.9 -0.4 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Ararat (A) | 72.6 +0.7 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Twente (H) | 71.9 -0.7 |
There are 98 places between these two in our European rankings, with SL Benfica the higher.
SL Benfica arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.0 rating points over their last 10 matches against AZ Alkmaar's -1.2.
SL Benfica first climbed to #7 in our European rankings on 2 May 2025.
The best xGtoday rating AZ Alkmaar have ever held is 76.2, first set on 29 August 2021.