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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
85.5 → 85.5 (0.0 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug Académico (H) | 85.4 0.0 | |
| 17 Aug Casa Pia (A) | 85.5 +0.1 | |
| 31 Aug Estoril (H) | 85.6 +0.1 | |
| 05 Sep Marítimo (A) | 85.4 -0.2 | |
| 09 Sep Moreirense (A) | 85.5 +0.1 |
72.7 → 72.6 (-0.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug ADO (H) | 71.7 +0.1 | |
| 15 Aug Utrecht (A) | 72.6 +0.9 | |
| 22 Aug Fortuna (A) | 73.2 +0.6 | |
| 29 Aug Go Ahead (H) | 73.1 -0.1 | |
| 06 Sep Heerenveen (A) | 72.6 -0.5 |
There are 88 places between these two in our European rankings, with SL Benfica the higher.
SL Benfica arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.0 rating points over their last 10 matches against AZ Alkmaar's -0.1.
SL Benfica first climbed to #7 in our European rankings on 2 May 2025.
The best xGtoday rating AZ Alkmaar have ever held is 76.2, first set on 29 Aug 2021.