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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
75.2 → 74.8 (-0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug Westerlo (A) | 75.5 +0.4 | |
| 15 Aug Zulte Waregem (H) | 74.9 -0.6 | |
| 30 Aug Anderlecht (H) | 74.7 -0.2 | |
| 02 Sep STVV (A) | 75.6 +0.9 | |
| 05 Sep Charleroi (A) | 74.8 -0.8 |
72.6 → 72.5 (-0.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec Roma (H) | 71.8 0.0 | |
| 22 Jan Bologna (A) | 71.9 +0.1 | |
| 29 Jan Utrecht (H) | 72.4 +0.5 | |
| 19 Feb Stuttgart (H) | 72.8 +0.4 | |
| 26 Feb Stuttgart (A) | 72.5 -0.3 |
Union SG sit 27 places above Celtic in our European rankings.
Celtic arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Union SG's -0.4.
The highest Union SG have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #38, first reached on 29 Sep 2025.
The best xGtoday rating Celtic have ever held is 72.8, first set on 19 Feb 2026.