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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
74.7 → 76.7 (+2.0 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 26 Antwerp (A) | 76.7 +0.6 | |
| 11 Oct 26 OH Leuven (H) | 75.8 -0.9 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Real Sociedad (H) | 76.3 +0.5 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Be'er Sheva (H) | 76.6 +0.3 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Cercle (H) | 76.7 +0.1 |
71.8 → 71.5 (-0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb 26 Stuttgart (H) | 72.8 +0.4 | |
| 26 Feb 26 Stuttgart (A) | 72.5 -0.3 | |
| 17 Sep 26 Ferencváros (H) | 72.3 -0.2 | |
| 15 Oct 26 Benfica (A) | 72.1 -0.2 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Celta Vigo (H) | 71.5 -0.6 |
Union SG sit 58 places above Celtic in our European rankings.
Union SG arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.0 rating points over their last 10 matches against Celtic's -0.3.
The highest Union SG have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #38, first reached on 29 September 2025.
The best xGtoday rating Celtic have ever held is 72.8, first set on 19 February 2026.