1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV prediction | 30 Jan 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

1. FSV Mainz 05 Rating: 80.3
H
70%
30 January 2027
Bundesliga
D
19%
Hamburger SV Rating: 71.0
A
12%
1. FSV Mainz 05
Ranking: #36 overall, #6 in Germany

78.2 → 80.3 (+2.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 29 Aug Paderborn 07 (H) 79.3 -0.1
0-5 06 Sep Hamburg (A) 80.3 +1.0
1-3 12 Sep Frankfurt (H) 79.9 -0.4
3-4 19 Sep Gladbach (A) 79.5 -0.4
3-4 10 Oct Leverkusen (H) 80.3 +0.8
Hamburger SV
Ranking: #122 overall, #20 in Germany

69.9 → 71.0 (+1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 29 Aug Dortmund (A) 71.3 +0.1
0-5 06 Sep Mainz 05 (H) 70.3 -1.0
5-0 13 Sep RB Leipzig (A) 70.2 -0.1
2-1 19 Sep Köln (H) 70.2 0.0
2-3 10 Oct Hoffenheim (A) 71.0 +0.8

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV: by the numbers

1. FSV Mainz 05 sit 86 places above Hamburger SV in our European rankings, and 14 places above them in Germany.

The recent trend shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the rise, +2.1 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Hamburger SV has also improved, albeit more slowly at +1.1.

Hamburger SV lost 1.0 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 6 September 2026.

1. FSV Mainz 05 first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 80.7 on 31 August 2025.

The highest Hamburger SV have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #51, first reached on 16 February 2020.