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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
83.1 → 84.2 (+1.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 May Fulham (A) | 84.7 -0.5 | |
| 19 May Man City (H) | 85.3 +0.6 | |
| 24 May Nottm Forest (A) | 84.7 -0.6 | |
| 23 Aug Man City (A) | 84.3 -0.4 | |
| 29 Aug Everton (H) | 84.2 -0.1 |
79.2 → 80.3 (+1.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 02 May Arsenal (A) | 79.4 -0.3 | |
| 09 May Bournemouth (H) | 79.9 +0.5 | |
| 17 May Wolves (A) | 80.0 +0.1 | |
| 24 May Newcastle (H) | 80.9 +0.9 | |
| 24 Aug Chelsea (H) | 80.3 -0.6 |
There are 17 places between these two in our European rankings, with Bournemouth the higher, and 5 places between them in England.
Fulham gained 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 9 May 2026.
The best xGtoday rating Bournemouth have ever held is 86.4, first set on 25 Jan 2025.
Fulham first climbed to #18 in our European rankings on 15 Feb 2025.