Manchester City vs Arsenal prediction | 30 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Manchester City
Ranking: #5 overall, #2 in England

90.5 → 91.2 (+0.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-2 08 Sep Porto (A) 91.6 +0.7
0-1 13 Sep Man United (A) 91.6 0.0
5-3 20 Sep Sunderland (H) 90.4 -1.2
0-3 11 Oct Liverpool (A) 90.8 +0.4
2-4 14 Oct PSG (H) 91.2 +0.4
Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

94.5 → 94.8 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 Sep Napoli (A) 94.9 +0.6
0-2 12 Sep Sunderland (A) 94.5 -0.4
3-0 19 Sep Brighton (A) 94.5 0.0
2-1 10 Oct Leeds Utd (H) 94.7 +0.2
3-0 13 Oct Lille (H) 94.8 +0.1

Manchester City vs Arsenal: by the numbers

There are 3 places between these two in our European rankings, with Arsenal the higher, and 1 place between them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Manchester City have moved +0.7 rating points, against +0.3 for Arsenal.

Last time these teams played, on 19 April 2026, Arsenal came away with their rating unchanged.

Manchester City first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 99.5 on 6 September 2022.

The highest Arsenal have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 14 February 2024.