Manchester City vs Arsenal prediction | 30 Jan 2027 | xGtoday


Manchester City
Ranking: #4 overall, #2 in England

91.2 → 91.0 (-0.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-0 13 May Crystal Palace (H) 91.1 +0.3
1-1 19 May Bournemouth (A) 90.5 -0.6
1-2 24 May Aston Villa (H) 89.7 -0.8
2-1 23 Aug Bournemouth (H) 90.1 +0.4
1-4 28 Aug Crystal Palace (A) 91.0 +0.9
Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 10 May West Ham (A) 93.9 -0.4
1-0 18 May Burnley (H) 93.9 0.0
1-2 24 May Crystal Palace (A) 94.5 +0.6
1-1 30 May PSG (A) 93.6 -0.9
3-0 21 Aug Coventry (H) 93.7 +0.1

Manchester City vs Arsenal: by the numbers

There are 2 places between these two in our European rankings, with Arsenal the higher, and 1 place between them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Manchester City have moved -0.2 rating points, against -2.2 for Arsenal.

Last time these teams played, on 19 Apr 2026, Arsenal came away with their rating unchanged.

Manchester City first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 99.5 on 6 Sep 2022.

The highest Arsenal have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 14 Feb 2024.