Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction | 31 Jan 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Atalanta Rating: 79.0
H
46%
31 January 2027
Serie A
D
29%
Fiorentina Rating: 76.8
A
25%
Atalanta
Ranking: #41 overall, #7 in Italy

83.7 → 79.0 (-4.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 31 Aug Bologna (H) 80.5 -1.0
2-1 05 Sep Roma (A) 79.8 -0.7
1-2 12 Sep Cagliari (H) 79.7 -0.1
2-0 20 Sep Juventus (A) 79.6 -0.1
3-1 12 Oct Venezia (H) 79.0 -0.6
Fiorentina
Ranking: #55 overall, #10 in Italy

76.9 → 76.8 (-0.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-3 29 Aug Frosinone (H) 76.0 +0.2
1-2 05 Sep Torino (H) 76.5 +0.5
2-4 11 Sep Venezia (A) 77.7 +1.2
1-1 20 Sep Napoli (H) 77.4 -0.3
2-1 10 Oct Genoa (A) 76.8 -0.6

Atalanta vs Fiorentina: by the numbers

Fiorentina trail Atalanta by 14 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 3 in Italy.

The recent trend shows Fiorentina on the rise, -0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Atalanta has gone the other way at -4.7.

Last time these teams played, on 22 May 2026, Atalanta gained 0.3 rating points.

Atalanta first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 90.7 on 15 February 2020.

Fiorentina first climbed to joint #15 in our European rankings on 12 December 2018.