Excelsior vs Ajax prediction | 13 Feb 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Excelsior Rating: 60.1
H
21%
13 February 2027
Eredivisie
D
27%
Ajax Rating: 72.1
A
52%
Excelsior
Ranking: #391 overall, #12 in Netherlands

59.8 → 60.1 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-3 05 Sep Willem II (A) 61.2 +0.3
2-2 08 Sep NEC (A) 61.9 +0.7
1-2 13 Sep Utrecht (H) 61.3 -0.6
2-2 19 Sep Ajax (A) 61.0 -0.3
1-5 11 Oct Groningen (H) 60.1 -0.9
Ajax
Ranking: #108 overall, #4 in Netherlands

69.8 → 72.1 (+2.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 05 Sep PSV (H) 71.0 -0.1
1-5 12 Sep Fortuna (A) 71.6 +0.6
5-1 15 Sep Willem II (H) 71.7 +0.1
2-2 19 Sep Excelsior (H) 71.9 +0.2
1-1 10 Oct NEC (H) 72.1 +0.2

Excelsior vs Ajax: by the numbers

There are 283 places between these two in our European rankings, with Ajax the higher, and 8 places between them in Netherlands.

Ajax arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Excelsior's +0.3.

Last time these teams played, on 19 September 2026, Excelsior lost 0.3 rating points.

Excelsior first climbed to joint #260 in our European rankings on 26 July 2018.

Ajax first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 88.3 on 23 April 2022.