Excelsior vs Ajax prediction | 13 Feb 2027 | xGtoday


Excelsior
Ranking: #361 overall, #11 in Netherlands

57.8 → 60.8 (+3.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 May Volendam (H) 59.8 -0.4
2-3 17 May Sparta R'dam (A) 59.8 0.0
0-4 07 Aug Cambuur (A) 61.0 +1.2
1-2 15 Aug PSV (H) 60.8 -0.2
2-1 29 Aug Sparta R'dam (H) 60.8 0.0
Ajax
Ranking: #123 overall, #5 in Netherlands

69.4 → 70.7 (+1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 17 May Heerenveen (A) 69.2 +0.1
2-0 21 May Groningen (H) 69.8 +0.6
1-1 24 May Utrecht (H) 69.8 0.0
0-2 09 Aug Zwolle (A) 70.4 +0.6
2-2 16 Aug Heerenveen (H) 70.7 +0.3

Excelsior vs Ajax: by the numbers

There are 238 places between these two in our European rankings, with Ajax the higher, and 6 places between them in Netherlands.

Excelsior arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +3.0 rating points over their last 10 matches against Ajax's +1.3.

Last time these teams played, on 1 Feb 2026, Excelsior gained 0.4 rating points.

Excelsior first climbed to joint #260 in our European rankings on 26 Jul 2018.

Ajax first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 88.3 on 23 Apr 2022.