Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 prediction | 20 Feb 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rating: 85.0
H
60%
20 February 2027
Bundesliga
D
23%
1. FSV Mainz 05 Rating: 80.3
A
17%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Ranking: #13 overall, #3 in Germany

84.1 → 85.0 (+0.9 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-0 05 Sep Union Berlin (H) 84.7 +0.4
2-2 12 Sep Augsburg (A) 85.3 +0.6
2-0 16 Sep NK Celje (H) 85.3 0.0
2-0 20 Sep RB Leipzig (H) 85.7 +0.4
3-4 10 Oct Mainz 05 (A) 85.0 -0.7
1. FSV Mainz 05
Ranking: #36 overall, #6 in Germany

78.2 → 80.3 (+2.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 29 Aug Paderborn 07 (H) 79.3 -0.1
0-5 06 Sep Hamburg (A) 80.3 +1.0
1-3 12 Sep Frankfurt (H) 79.9 -0.4
3-4 19 Sep Gladbach (A) 79.5 -0.4
3-4 10 Oct Leverkusen (H) 80.3 +0.8

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05: by the numbers

1. FSV Mainz 05 trail Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 23 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 3 in Germany.

1. FSV Mainz 05 arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Bayer 04 Leverkusen's +0.9.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen lost 0.7 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 10 October 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Bayer 04 Leverkusen have ever held is 91.9, first set on 22 September 2024.

1. FSV Mainz 05 first climbed to #32 in our European rankings on 22 September 2021.