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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
87.2 → 87.8 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep Atl Madrid (H) | 87.3 0.0 | |
| 12 Sep Fulham (H) | 87.3 0.0 | |
| 20 Sep Bournemouth (A) | 88.0 +0.7 | |
| 11 Oct Man City (H) | 87.6 -0.4 | |
| 14 Oct LASK (A) | 87.8 +0.2 |
61.7 → 64.8 (+3.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug Coventry (A) | 63.1 0.0 | |
| 05 Sep Aston Villa (H) | 62.9 -0.2 | |
| 12 Sep Chelsea (A) | 63.9 +1.0 | |
| 19 Sep Newcastle (A) | 64.7 +0.8 | |
| 11 Oct Everton (H) | 64.8 +0.1 |
There are 231 places between these two in our European rankings, with Liverpool the higher, and 30 places between them in England.
Over their last 10 matches Hull City have moved +3.1 rating points, against +0.6 for Liverpool.
The best xGtoday rating Liverpool have ever held is 97.6, first set on 1 February 2025.
Hull City first climbed to joint #130 in our European rankings on 28 January 2020.