Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction | 27 Feb 2027 | xGtoday


Aston Villa
Ranking: #19 overall, #9 in England

82.7 → 83.3 (+0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 08 Sep Club Brugge (A) 83.8 +1.1
1-2 12 Sep Nottm Forest (H) 82.5 -1.3
2-3 19 Sep Tottenham (A) 82.4 -0.1
2-2 10 Oct Brentford (H) 83.1 +0.7
6-0 14 Oct Fenerbahçe (H) 83.3 +0.2
Chelsea
Ranking: #15 overall, #6 in England

87.9 → 84.6 (-3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-3 30 Aug Brighton (H) 87.3 +0.7
2-1 06 Sep Arsenal (A) 86.9 -0.4
2-2 12 Sep Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4

Aston Villa vs Chelsea: by the numbers

Chelsea sit 4 places above Aston Villa in our European rankings, and 3 places above them in England.

Aston Villa arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.6 rating points over their last 10 matches against Chelsea's -3.3.

Last time these teams played, on 4 March 2026, Aston Villa lost 1.0 rating points.

Aston Villa first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 85.2 on 16 May 2025.

The highest Chelsea have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 5 May 2021.