Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction | 27 Feb 2027 | xGtoday


Aston Villa
Ranking: #23 overall, #11 in England

83.1 → 82.7 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 10 May Burnley (A) 81.6 -0.7
4-2 15 May Liverpool (H) 82.0 +0.4
0-3 20 May Freiburg (A) 82.7 +0.7
1-2 24 May Man City (A) 83.5 +0.8
4-0 23 Aug Brighton (A) 82.7 -0.8
Chelsea
Ranking: #8 overall, #4 in England

90.2 → 86.6 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 04 May Nottm Forest (H) 87.9 -0.3
1-1 09 May Liverpool (A) 88.0 +0.1
2-1 19 May Tottenham (H) 87.0 -1.0
2-1 24 May Sunderland (A) 86.0 -1.0
2-3 24 Aug Fulham (A) 86.6 +0.6

Aston Villa vs Chelsea: by the numbers

Chelsea sit 15 places above Aston Villa in our European rankings, and 7 places above them in England.

Aston Villa arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.4 rating points over their last 10 matches against Chelsea's -3.6.

Last time these teams played, on 4 Mar 2026, Aston Villa lost 1.0 rating points.

Aston Villa first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 85.2 on 16 May 2025.

The highest Chelsea have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 5 May 2021.