Burnley vs Watford prediction | 27 Feb 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Burnley Rating: 65.0
H
55%
27 February 2027
Championship
D
25%
Watford Rating: 59.5
A
19%
Burnley
Ranking: #230 overall, #31 in England

68.9 → 65.0 (-3.9 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 08 Sep Wrexham (A) 67.2 +0.1
3-1 12 Sep Swansea City (A) 66.7 -0.5
1-1 19 Sep Derby (H) 65.6 -1.1
0-4 10 Oct Watford (A) 66.3 +0.7
2-2 13 Oct Charlton (H) 65.0 -1.3
Watford
Ranking: #408 overall, #48 in England

63.3 → 59.5 (-3.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 08 Sep Preston (H) 62.5 -0.9
1-2 12 Sep Stoke City (H) 61.4 -1.1
1-0 18 Sep Bristol City (A) 61.0 -0.4
0-4 10 Oct Burnley (H) 60.3 -0.7
5-1 13 Oct Cardiff City (A) 59.5 -0.8

Burnley vs Watford: by the numbers

There are 178 places between these two in our European rankings, with Burnley the higher, and 17 places between them in England.

The recent trend shows Watford on the rise, -3.8 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Burnley has gone the other way at -3.9.

Watford lost 0.7 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 10 October 2026.

The highest Burnley have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #36, first reached on 30 November 2019.

The best xGtoday rating Watford have ever held is 78.8, first set on 22 December 2018.