Manchester United vs Arsenal prediction | 27 Feb 2027 | xGtoday


Manchester United
Ranking: #11 overall, #6 in England

86.3 → 86.2 (-0.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-2 03 May Liverpool (H) 85.5 +0.8
0-0 09 May Sunderland (A) 84.8 -0.7
3-2 17 May Nottm Forest (H) 85.3 +0.5
0-3 24 May Brighton (A) 86.2 +0.9
2-0 22 Aug Hull City (A) 86.2 0.0
Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 10 May West Ham (A) 93.9 -0.4
1-0 18 May Burnley (H) 93.9 0.0
1-2 24 May Crystal Palace (A) 94.5 +0.6
1-1 30 May PSG (A) 93.6 -0.9
3-0 21 Aug Coventry (H) 93.7 +0.1

Manchester United vs Arsenal: by the numbers

Manchester United trail Arsenal by 9 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 5 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Manchester United have moved -0.1 rating points, against -2.2 for Arsenal.

Arsenal lost 0.1 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 25 Jan 2026.

Manchester United first climbed to joint #5 in our European rankings on 29 Apr 2021.

Arsenal first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 96.8 on 7 Feb 2026.