Wrexham vs Derby County prediction | 27 Feb 2027 | xGtoday


Wrexham
Ranking: #228 overall, #31 in England

64.2 → 65.0 (+0.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 26 Apr Coventry (A) 64.2 +0.2
2-2 02 May Boro (H) 64.2 0.0
1-1 17 Aug Cardiff City (A) 64.6 +0.4
1-1 22 Aug Watford (H) 65.2 +0.6
1-2 28 Aug Birmingham (H) 65.0 -0.2
Derby County
Ranking: #261 overall, #37 in England

66.4 → 63.6 (-2.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 25 Apr QPR (A) 65.7 -0.8
1-2 02 May Sheff Utd (H) 65.8 +0.1
2-1 15 Aug Charlton (A) 65.7 -0.1
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4

Wrexham vs Derby County: by the numbers

There are 33 places between these two in our European rankings, with Wrexham the higher, and 6 places between them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Wrexham have moved +0.8 rating points, against -2.8 for Derby County.

Derby County lost 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 4 Jan 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Wrexham have ever held is 66.0, first set on 21 Feb 2026.

The highest Derby County have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #147, first reached on 23 Dec 2018.