Real Madrid vs Valencia CF prediction | 28 Feb 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Real Madrid Rating: 90.3
H
75%
28 February 2027
La Liga
D
17%
Valencia CF Rating: 76.6
A
8%
Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

90.0 → 90.3 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-1 12 Sep Rayo (H) 91.4 +0.1
2-3 15 Sep Elche (A) 91.7 +0.3
2-1 20 Sep Atl Madrid (A) 90.2 -1.5
1-0 10 Oct Villarreal (H) 90.3 +0.1
3-4 14 Oct Roma (A) 90.3 0.0
Valencia CF
Ranking: #56 overall, #7 in Spain

78.4 → 76.6 (-1.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-5 06 Sep Barcelona (H) 77.8 -0.7
1-0 11 Sep Sevilla (A) 77.2 -0.6
0-1 15 Sep Alavés (A) 77.3 +0.1
2-3 20 Sep Real Sociedad (H) 76.3 -1.0
2-2 11 Oct Racing Sant (A) 76.6 +0.3

Real Madrid vs Valencia CF: by the numbers

There are 50 places between these two in our European rankings, with Real Madrid the higher, and 5 places between them in Spain.

The recent trend shows Real Madrid on the rise, +0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Valencia CF has gone the other way at -1.8.

Valencia CF lost 0.1 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 8 February 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Real Madrid have ever held is 94.3, first set on 8 April 2018.

The highest Valencia CF have ever stood in our European rankings is #15, first reached on 19 February 2019.