Cardiff City vs Derby County prediction | 2 Mar 2027 | xGtoday


Cardiff City
Ranking: #320 overall, #42 in England

61.5 → 62.3 (+0.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 22 Aug Derby (A) 61.7 +0.7
2-2 29 Aug Sheff Utd (H) 62.4 +0.7
2-1 02 Sep QPR (A) 61.7 -0.7
2-0 05 Sep Portsmouth (A) 61.5 -0.2
1-1 08 Sep Stoke City (H) 62.3 +0.8
Derby County
Ranking: #252 overall, #36 in England

66.5 → 64.0 (-2.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4
0-2 01 Sep Portsmouth (A) 63.6 0.0
3-0 05 Sep West Ham (A) 63.4 -0.2
0-1 09 Sep West Brom (H) 64.0 +0.6

Cardiff City vs Derby County: by the numbers

There are 68 places between these two in our European rankings, with Derby County the higher, and 6 places between them in England.

Cardiff City arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.8 rating points over their last 10 matches against Derby County's -2.5.

Cardiff City gained 0.7 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 22 Aug 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Cardiff City have ever held is 73.9, first set on 8 Dec 2018.

Derby County first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 23 Dec 2018.