Cardiff City vs Derby County prediction | 2 Mar 2027 | xGtoday


Cardiff City
Ranking: #243 overall, #36 in England

62.4 → 64.5 (+2.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 19 Sep 26 Charlton (H) 63.6 +0.5
2-1 10 Oct 26 Blackburn (A) 62.8 -0.8
5-1 13 Oct 26 Watford (H) 63.5 +0.7
2-2 17 Oct 26 Boro (A) 63.3 -0.2
1-0 24 Oct 26 Birmingham (H) 64.5 +1.2
Derby County
Ranking: #320 overall, #41 in England

63.6 → 62.2 (-1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 19 Sep 26 Burnley (A) 64.1 +1.2
1-1 10 Oct 26 Wrexham (H) 63.3 -0.8
4-1 14 Oct 26 QPR (A) 62.8 -0.5
0-1 17 Oct 26 Stoke City (H) 62.9 +0.1
1-1 24 Oct 26 Sheff Utd (A) 62.2 -0.7

Cardiff City vs Derby County: by the numbers

There are 77 places between these two in our European rankings, with Cardiff City the higher, and 5 places between them in England.

Cardiff City arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Derby County's -1.4.

Cardiff City gained 0.7 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 22 August 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Cardiff City have ever held is 73.9, first set on 8 December 2018.

Derby County first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 23 December 2018.