Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction | 3 Mar 2027 | xGtoday


Liverpool
Ranking: #7 overall, #3 in England

89.7 → 87.3 (-2.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 24 May Brentford (H) 87.7 +0.5
2-2 23 Aug Newcastle (A) 88.6 +0.9
2-2 29 Aug Nottm Forest (H) 87.8 -0.8
0-2 04 Sep Ipswich (A) 87.3 -0.5
2-1 09 Sep Atl Madrid (H) 87.3 0.0
Aston Villa
Ranking: #19 overall, #10 in England

81.6 → 83.8 (+2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-2 24 May Man City (A) 83.5 +0.8
4-0 23 Aug Brighton (A) 82.7 -0.8
0-1 31 Aug Arsenal (H) 82.5 -0.2
0-0 05 Sep Hull City (A) 82.7 +0.2
2-3 08 Sep Club Brugge (A) 83.8 +1.1

Liverpool vs Aston Villa: by the numbers

There are 12 places between these two in our European rankings, with Liverpool the higher, and 7 places between them in England.

Aston Villa arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.2 rating points over their last 10 matches against Liverpool's -2.4.

Last time these teams played, on 15 May 2026, Liverpool lost 0.4 rating points.

Liverpool first climbed to #1 in our European rankings on 29 Dec 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Aston Villa have ever held is 85.2, first set on 16 May 2025.