Stoke City vs Southampton prediction | 3 Mar 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

3 March 2027
Championship
Stoke City Rating: 59.3
H
20%
D
26%
Southampton Rating: 70.5
A
53%
Stoke City
Ranking: #413 overall, #49 in England

59.7 → 59.3 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 19 Sep 26 Sheff Utd (H) 60.5 +0.2
1-2 10 Oct 26 Bolton (A) 59.5 -1.0
2-3 13 Oct 26 Boro (H) 59.1 -0.4
0-1 17 Oct 26 Derby (A) 59.0 -0.1
0-0 24 Oct 26 Bristol City (H) 59.3 +0.3
Southampton
Ranking: #126 overall, #23 in England

71.2 → 70.5 (-0.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 19 Sep 26 Wrexham (A) 69.7 +0.9
1-0 11 Oct 26 Portsmouth (H) 69.4 -0.3
0-1 14 Oct 26 Norwich City (A) 70.0 +0.6
0-0 17 Oct 26 Bolton (H) 70.0 0.0
2-3 24 Oct 26 West Ham (A) 70.5 +0.5

Stoke City vs Southampton: by the numbers

Stoke City trail Southampton by 287 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 26 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Stoke City have moved -0.4 rating points, against -0.7 for Southampton.

Last time these teams played, on 22 August 2026, Southampton gained 0.2 rating points.

Stoke City first climbed to #113 in our European rankings on 22 September 2018.

Southampton first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 81.6 on 11 January 2020.