Sunderland vs Manchester United prediction | 3 Mar 2027 | xGtoday


Sunderland
Ranking: #51 overall, #17 in England

74.9 → 77.6 (+2.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-2 10 Oct 26 Brighton (H) 77.5 -0.3
1-2 15 Oct 26 Torreense (A) 78.0 +0.5
2-0 18 Oct 26 Bournemouth (A) 77.4 -0.6
1-1 22 Oct 26 Lech Poznań (A) 77.5 +0.1
0-0 25 Oct 26 Leeds Utd (H) 77.6 +0.1
Manchester United
Ranking: #18 overall, #8 in England

86.4 → 83.4 (-3.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 Oct 26 Tottenham (H) 85.3 -0.9
2-0 13 Oct 26 Atl Madrid (A) 85.0 -0.3
1-1 18 Oct 26 Leeds Utd (A) 84.7 -0.3
4-1 21 Oct 26 Como (A) 84.1 -0.6
0-3 25 Oct 26 Bournemouth (H) 83.4 -0.7

Sunderland vs Manchester United: by the numbers

Sunderland trail Manchester United by 33 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 9 in England.

Sunderland arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.7 rating points over their last 10 matches against Manchester United's -3.0.

Last time these teams played, on 9 May 2026, Manchester United lost 0.7 rating points.

The highest Sunderland have ever stood in our European rankings is #47, first reached on 15 October 2026.

Manchester United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.9 on 30 September 2017.