Southampton vs Watford prediction | 6 Mar 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

6 March 2027
Championship
Southampton Rating: 70.5
H
68%
D
19%
Watford Rating: 60.3
A
13%
Southampton
Ranking: #126 overall, #23 in England

71.2 → 70.5 (-0.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 19 Sep 26 Wrexham (A) 69.7 +0.9
1-0 11 Oct 26 Portsmouth (H) 69.4 -0.3
0-1 14 Oct 26 Norwich City (A) 70.0 +0.6
0-0 17 Oct 26 Bolton (H) 70.0 0.0
2-3 24 Oct 26 West Ham (A) 70.5 +0.5
Watford
Ranking: #385 overall, #47 in England

63.7 → 60.3 (-3.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 18 Sep 26 Bristol City (A) 61.0 -0.4
0-4 10 Oct 26 Burnley (H) 60.3 -0.7
5-1 13 Oct 26 Cardiff City (A) 59.6 -0.7
2-0 17 Oct 26 Charlton (H) 60.4 +0.8
1-0 24 Oct 26 Wolves (A) 60.3 -0.1

Southampton vs Watford: by the numbers

Watford trail Southampton by 259 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 24 in England.

The recent trend shows Southampton on the rise, -0.7 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Watford has gone the other way at -3.4.

Watford lost 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 16 August 2026.

The highest Southampton have ever stood in our European rankings is #23, first reached on 10 August 2020.

Watford first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 78.8 on 22 December 2018.