AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction | 13 Mar 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

13 March 2027
Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar Rating: 72.1
H
68%
D
19%
Sparta Rotterdam Rating: 63.6
A
13%
AZ Alkmaar
Ranking: #106 overall, #5 in Netherlands

73.1 → 72.1 (-1.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 10 Oct 26 Feyenoord (A) 72.0 -0.4
2-1 15 Oct 26 Be'er Sheva (H) 72.3 +0.3
2-2 18 Oct 26 Cambuur (A) 71.9 -0.4
0-4 22 Oct 26 Ararat (A) 72.6 +0.7
0-2 25 Oct 26 Twente (H) 72.1 -0.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Ranking: #266 overall, #10 in Netherlands

61.9 → 63.6 (+1.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-1 13 Sep 26 PSV (A) 63.2 -0.1
0-4 19 Sep 26 Heerenveen (H) 62.3 -0.9
3-3 10 Oct 26 Go Ahead (A) 63.3 +1.0
3-2 17 Oct 26 Willem II (H) 63.5 +0.2
1-2 25 Oct 26 Ajax (H) 63.6 +0.1

AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam: by the numbers

There are 160 places between these two in our European rankings, with AZ Alkmaar the higher, and 5 places between them in Netherlands.

Over their last 10 matches Sparta Rotterdam have moved +1.7 rating points, against -1.0 for AZ Alkmaar.

Sparta Rotterdam gained 0.2 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 22 February 2026.

The best xGtoday rating AZ Alkmaar have ever held is 76.2, first set on 29 August 2021.

Sparta Rotterdam first climbed to joint #241 in our European rankings on 7 March 2026.