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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
89.2 → 85.9 (-3.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 24 May Sunderland (A) | 86.0 -1.0 | |
| 24 Aug Fulham (A) | 86.6 +0.6 | |
| 30 Aug Brighton (H) | 87.3 +0.7 | |
| 06 Sep Arsenal (A) | 86.9 -0.4 | |
| 12 Sep Hull City (H) | 85.9 -1.0 |
94.3 → 94.7 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug Coventry (H) | 93.7 +0.1 | |
| 31 Aug Aston Villa (A) | 93.9 +0.2 | |
| 06 Sep Chelsea (H) | 94.3 +0.4 | |
| 09 Sep Napoli (A) | 94.9 +0.6 | |
| 12 Sep Sunderland (A) | 94.7 -0.2 |
Chelsea trail Arsenal by 9 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 4 in England.
Over their last 10 matches Arsenal have moved +0.4 rating points, against -3.3 for Chelsea.
Last time these teams played, on 6 Sep 2026, Chelsea lost 0.4 rating points.
Chelsea first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 94.6 on 22 Aug 2021.
Arsenal first climbed to #2 in our European rankings on 14 Feb 2024.