Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction | 13 Mar 2027 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #14 overall, #6 in England

87.0 → 84.8 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 12 Sep 26 Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep 26 Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct 26 Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4
0-2 17 Oct 26 Everton (A) 85.3 +0.7
0-2 24 Oct 26 Tottenham (H) 84.8 -0.5
Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

93.9 → 94.7 (+0.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 10 Oct 26 Leeds Utd (H) 94.7 +0.2
3-0 13 Oct 26 Lille (H) 94.8 +0.1
0-1 18 Oct 26 Nottm Forest (A) 94.6 -0.2
2-2 21 Oct 26 Bayern Munich (A) 94.5 -0.1
2-0 24 Oct 26 Everton (H) 94.7 +0.2

Chelsea vs Arsenal: by the numbers

Chelsea trail Arsenal by 12 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 5 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Arsenal have moved +0.8 rating points, against -2.2 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 6 September 2026, Chelsea lost 0.4 rating points.

Chelsea first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 94.6 on 22 August 2021.

Arsenal first climbed to #2 in our European rankings on 14 February 2024.