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match result explainer
FC Barcelona
93.8 -0.2
45%
1 - 1
27%
Real Madrid
94.2 +0.2
28%
Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
match prediction explainer
Manchester City
45%
2.21
27%
4.76
Liverpool
28%
3.56
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco: by the numbers
AS Monaco sit 37 places above Olympique de Marseille in our European rankings, and 8 places above them in France.
The recent trend shows AS Monaco on the rise, -1.3 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Olympique de Marseille has gone the other way at -6.3.
AS Monaco came away with their rating unchanged in the last contest between these two, on 30 August 2026.
The highest Olympique de Marseille have ever stood in our European rankings is #13, first reached on 10 August 2018.
The best xGtoday rating AS Monaco have ever held is 89.0, first set on 27 August 2017.