Watford vs Derby County prediction | 13 Mar 2027 | xGtoday


Watford
Ranking: #349 overall, #46 in England

63.6 → 61.4 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 29 Aug West Ham (H) 63.7 +1.0
2-0 01 Sep Swansea City (A) 63.0 -0.7
1-0 05 Sep West Brom (A) 63.4 +0.4
2-1 08 Sep Preston (H) 62.5 -0.9
1-2 12 Sep Stoke City (H) 61.4 -1.1
Derby County
Ranking: #297 overall, #39 in England

66.5 → 62.9 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4
0-2 01 Sep Portsmouth (A) 63.6 0.0
3-0 05 Sep West Ham (A) 63.4 -0.2
0-1 09 Sep West Brom (H) 64.0 +0.6
1-2 12 Sep Birmingham (H) 62.9 -1.1

Watford vs Derby County: by the numbers

Watford trail Derby County by 52 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 7 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Watford have moved -2.2 rating points, against -3.6 for Derby County.

Last time these teams played, on 21 Feb 2026, Watford gained 0.4 rating points.

Watford first climbed to joint #33 in our European rankings on 8 Nov 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Derby County have ever held is 68.4, first set on 22 Dec 2018.