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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
70.1 → 67.9 (-2.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 24 May Sassuolo (H) | 69.2 +0.2 | |
| 22 Aug Cagliari (H) | 69.1 -0.1 | |
| 29 Aug Juventus (A) | 69.0 -0.1 | |
| 06 Sep Monza (H) | 68.1 -0.9 | |
| 14 Sep Como (A) | 67.9 -0.2 |
69.8 → 68.2 (-1.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 24 May Genoa (H) | 69.4 +0.7 | |
| 23 Aug Venezia (A) | 70.2 +0.8 | |
| 31 Aug Roma (H) | 69.7 -0.5 | |
| 07 Sep Cagliari (A) | 69.2 -0.5 | |
| 13 Sep Monza (H) | 68.2 -1.0 |
Lecce sit 6 places above Parma in our European rankings, and 2 places above them in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Lecce have moved -1.6 rating points, against -2.2 for Parma.
Last time these teams played, on 11 Jan 2026, Parma gained 0.1 rating points.
Parma first climbed to joint #76 in our European rankings on 1 Nov 2025.
The best xGtoday rating Lecce have ever held is 75.0, first set on 5 May 2024.