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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
69.2 → 67.5 (-1.7 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 26 Genoa (H) | 67.9 0.0 | |
| 10 Oct 26 Inter (A) | 67.8 -0.1 | |
| 19 Oct 26 Torino (H) | 67.9 +0.1 | |
| 24 Oct 26 Lazio (A) | 67.7 -0.2 | |
| 28 Oct 26 Udinese (H) | 67.5 -0.2 |
69.4 → 68.8 (-0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 26 Milan (A) | 67.9 -0.3 | |
| 11 Oct 26 Bologna (H) | 67.8 -0.1 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Udinese (A) | 69.5 +1.7 | |
| 25 Oct 26 Juventus (H) | 69.9 +0.4 | |
| 29 Oct 26 Frosinone (A) | 68.8 -1.1 |
Lecce sit 21 places above Parma in our European rankings, and 3 places above them in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Lecce have moved -0.6 rating points, against -1.7 for Parma.
Last time these teams played, on 11 January 2026, Parma gained 0.1 rating points.
Parma first climbed to joint #76 in our European rankings on 1 November 2025.
The best xGtoday rating Lecce have ever held is 75.0, first set on 5 May 2024.