Derby County vs Middlesbrough prediction | 16 Mar 2027 | xGtoday


Derby County
Ranking: #296 overall, #39 in England

66.5 → 62.9 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4
0-2 01 Sep Portsmouth (A) 63.6 0.0
3-0 05 Sep West Ham (A) 63.4 -0.2
0-1 09 Sep West Brom (H) 64.0 +0.6
1-2 12 Sep Birmingham (H) 62.9 -1.1
Middlesbrough
Ranking: #76 overall, #21 in England

74.4 → 74.5 (+0.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 29 Aug West Brom (H) 74.3 +0.4
1-1 02 Sep Burnley (A) 74.4 +0.1
0-1 05 Sep QPR (A) 75.0 +0.6
4-3 12 Sep Norwich City (H) 75.0 0.0
2-2 15 Sep Millwall (H) 74.5 -0.5

Derby County vs Middlesbrough: by the numbers

Derby County trail Middlesbrough by 220 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 18 in England.

Middlesbrough arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Derby County's -3.6.

Last time these teams played, on 1 Jan 2026, Middlesbrough gained 0.1 rating points.

Derby County first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 23 Dec 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Middlesbrough have ever held is 75.0, first set on 5 Sep 2026.