Swansea City vs Bristol City prediction | 16 Mar 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

16 March 2027
Championship
Swansea City Rating: 67.2
H
50%
D
28%
Bristol City Rating: 63.9
A
22%
Swansea City
Ranking: #188 overall, #28 in England

65.5 → 67.2 (+1.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 13 Oct 26 Millwall (A) 67.0 +0.8
0-1 17 Oct 26 West Ham (H) 67.3 +0.3
5-0 24 Oct 26 QPR (A) 66.2 -1.1
4-0 31 Oct 26 Blackburn (H) 66.7 +0.5
3-1 03 Nov 26 Portsmouth (A) 67.2 +0.5
Bristol City
Ranking: #256 overall, #38 in England

60.6 → 63.9 (+3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 Oct 26 Charlton (A) 63.1 -0.3
0-1 13 Oct 26 Blackburn (H) 63.9 +0.8
0-1 17 Oct 26 Sheff Utd (H) 63.2 -0.7
0-0 24 Oct 26 Stoke City (A) 63.0 -0.2
2-3 31 Oct 26 Bolton (A) 63.9 +0.9

Swansea City vs Bristol City: by the numbers

There are 68 places between these two in our European rankings, with Swansea City the higher, and 10 places between them in England.

Bristol City arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +3.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Swansea City's +1.7.

Bristol City gained 0.4 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 21 February 2026.

Swansea City first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 74.7 on 27 July 2017.

Bristol City first climbed to joint #125 in our European rankings on 2 March 2019.