Millwall vs Watford prediction | 17 Mar 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

17 March 2027
Championship
Millwall Rating: 68.6
H
62%
D
23%
Watford Rating: 60.4
A
15%
Millwall
Ranking: #161 overall, #25 in England

66.9 → 68.6 (+1.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 13 Oct 26 Swansea City (H) 67.8 -0.8
2-2 17 Oct 26 Lincoln City (H) 68.1 +0.3
2-1 24 Oct 26 Portsmouth (A) 68.1 0.0
4-1 31 Oct 26 Derby (H) 68.7 +0.6
3-0 03 Nov 26 Birmingham (A) 68.6 -0.1
Watford
Ranking: #380 overall, #46 in England

63.4 → 60.4 (-3.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
5-1 13 Oct 26 Cardiff City (A) 59.6 -0.7
2-0 17 Oct 26 Charlton (H) 60.4 +0.8
1-0 24 Oct 26 Wolves (A) 60.3 -0.1
3-2 31 Oct 26 Norwich City (A) 60.6 +0.3
1-0 03 Nov 26 Lincoln City (H) 60.4 -0.2

Millwall vs Watford: by the numbers

Millwall sit 219 places above Watford in our European rankings, and 21 places above them in England.

The recent trend shows Millwall on the rise, +1.7 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Watford has gone the other way at -3.0.

Last time these teams played, on 17 January 2026, Millwall gained 1.0 rating points.

The highest Millwall have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #126, first reached on 3 July 2020.

The best xGtoday rating Watford have ever held is 78.8, first set on 22 December 2018.