Millwall vs Watford prediction | 17 Mar 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Millwall Millwall Rating: 67.7
H
59%
17 Mar 2027
Championship
D
23%
Watford Watford Rating: 61.4
A
18%
Millwall
Ranking: #176 overall, #26 in England

67.2 → 67.7 (+0.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
5-1 29 Aug Southampton (A) 67.3 -0.7
0-3 02 Sep Wrexham (H) 66.5 -0.8
4-0 05 Sep Bolton (H) 66.9 +0.4
3-1 12 Sep Blackburn (A) 67.2 +0.3
2-2 15 Sep Boro (A) 67.7 +0.5
Watford
Ranking: #348 overall, #46 in England

63.6 → 61.4 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 29 Aug West Ham (H) 63.7 +1.0
2-0 01 Sep Swansea City (A) 63.0 -0.7
1-0 05 Sep West Brom (A) 63.4 +0.4
2-1 08 Sep Preston (H) 62.5 -0.9
1-2 12 Sep Stoke City (H) 61.4 -1.1

Millwall vs Watford: by the numbers

Millwall sit 172 places above Watford in our European rankings, and 20 places above them in England.

The recent trend shows Millwall on the rise, +0.5 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Watford has gone the other way at -2.2.

Last time these teams played, on 17 Jan 2026, Millwall gained 1.0 rating points.

The highest Millwall have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #126, first reached on 3 Jul 2020.

The best xGtoday rating Watford have ever held is 78.8, first set on 22 Dec 2018.