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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
57.7 → 57.9 (+0.2 over last 5 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug Avellino (A) | 57.7 +0.9 | |
| 30 Aug Palermo (H) | 57.2 -0.5 | |
| 06 Sep Verona (A) | 57.0 -0.2 | |
| 11 Sep Empoli (A) | 57.5 +0.5 | |
| 20 Sep Südtirol (H) | 57.9 +0.4 |
65.7 → 66.6 (+0.9 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug Benevento (A) | 64.8 +0.1 | |
| 28 Aug Cremonese (A) | 65.7 +0.9 | |
| 06 Sep Avellino (H) | 66.0 +0.3 | |
| 12 Sep Südtirol (A) | 66.2 +0.2 | |
| 20 Sep Empoli (H) | 66.6 +0.4 |
Arezzo trail Modena by 249 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 29 in Italy.
Modena arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.9 rating points over their last 10 matches; Arezzo have moved +0.2 over their last 5.
Arezzo first climbed to joint #444 in our European rankings on 22 Aug 2026.
Modena first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 69.2 on 10 Feb 2026.