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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
57.7 → 56.3 (-1.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 26 Cremonese (H) | 58.4 +0.9 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Sampdoria (A) | 57.9 -0.5 | |
| 24 Oct 26 Benevento (H) | 56.6 -1.3 | |
| 28 Oct 26 Carrarese (A) | 56.2 -0.4 | |
| 01 Nov 26 Ascoli (H) | 56.3 +0.1 |
64.8 → 67.8 (+3.0 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 26 Verona (H) | 67.2 +0.6 | |
| 17 Oct 26 Carrarese (A) | 66.4 -0.8 | |
| 24 Oct 26 Cesena (H) | 66.9 +0.5 | |
| 27 Oct 26 Vicenza (A) | 67.4 +0.5 | |
| 31 Oct 26 Mantova (H) | 67.8 +0.4 |
Arezzo trail Modena by 303 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 37 in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Modena have moved +3.0 rating points, against -1.4 for Arezzo.
Arezzo first climbed to joint #437 in our European rankings on 10 October 2026.
Modena first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 69.2 on 10 February 2026.