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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
58.4 → 61.6 (+3.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct 26 Sampdoria (H) | 60.4 +0.9 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Cesena (A) | 60.1 -0.3 | |
| 24 Oct 26 Padova (H) | 60.4 +0.3 | |
| 27 Oct 26 Entella (A) | 61.0 +0.6 | |
| 01 Nov 26 Pisa (H) | 61.6 +0.6 |
57.4 → 61.0 (+3.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 26 Cesena (H) | 58.7 +0.9 | |
| 17 Oct 26 Vicenza (H) | 59.2 +0.5 | |
| 24 Oct 26 Arezzo (A) | 60.5 +1.3 | |
| 27 Oct 26 Catanzaro (H) | 61.4 +0.9 | |
| 31 Oct 26 Cremonese (A) | 61.0 -0.4 |
Avellino sit 19 places above Benevento in our European rankings, and 2 places above them in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Benevento have moved +3.6 rating points, against +3.2 for Avellino.
Avellino first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 61.6 on 1 November 2026.
Benevento first climbed to joint #69 in our European rankings on 8 March 2020.