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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
58.9 → 59.5 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug Arezzo (H) | 58.4 -0.9 | |
| 29 Aug Vicenza (H) | 58.5 +0.1 | |
| 06 Sep Modena (A) | 58.2 -0.3 | |
| 13 Sep Palermo (H) | 59.3 +1.1 | |
| 19 Sep Ascoli (A) | 59.5 +0.2 |
58.9 → 57.8 (-1.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug Modena (H) | 57.4 -0.1 | |
| 30 Aug Südtirol (H) | 58.2 +0.8 | |
| 05 Sep Ascoli (A) | 57.5 -0.7 | |
| 11 Sep Verona (H) | 57.4 -0.1 | |
| 19 Sep Carrarese (A) | 57.8 +0.4 |
Avellino sit 45 places above Benevento in our European rankings, and 5 places above them in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Avellino have moved +0.6 rating points, against -1.1 for Benevento.
Avellino first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 61.1 on 18 Oct 2025.
Benevento first climbed to joint #69 in our European rankings on 8 Mar 2020.