AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior prediction | 20 Mar 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

20 March 2027
Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar Rating: 73.3
H
76%
D
16%
Excelsior Rating: 59.4
A
8%
AZ Alkmaar
Ranking: #90 overall, #4 in Netherlands

72.6 → 73.3 (+0.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 15 Oct 26 Be'er Sheva (H) 72.3 +0.3
2-2 18 Oct 26 Cambuur (A) 71.9 -0.4
0-4 22 Oct 26 Ararat (A) 72.6 +0.7
0-2 25 Oct 26 Twente (H) 72.1 -0.5
1-0 31 Oct 26 Ajax (A) 73.3 +1.2
Excelsior
Ranking: #410 overall, #14 in Netherlands

60.8 → 59.4 (-1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 19 Sep 26 Ajax (A) 61.0 -0.3
1-5 11 Oct 26 Groningen (H) 60.1 -0.9
4-0 16 Oct 26 Heerenveen (A) 59.7 -0.4
1-0 25 Oct 26 Fortuna (A) 60.0 +0.3
0-9 01 Nov 26 Twente (H) 59.4 -0.6

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior: by the numbers

Excelsior trail AZ Alkmaar by 320 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 10 in Netherlands.

Over their last 10 matches AZ Alkmaar have moved +0.7 rating points, against -1.4 for Excelsior.

Excelsior lost 0.4 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 14 February 2026.

The best xGtoday rating AZ Alkmaar have ever held is 76.2, first set on 29 August 2021.

The highest Excelsior have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #260, first reached on 26 July 2018.