Manchester City vs Manchester United prediction | 20 Mar 2027 | xGtoday


Manchester City
Ranking: #5 overall, #2 in England

90.9 → 92.0 (+1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-4 14 Oct 26 PSG (H) 91.2 +0.4
3-2 17 Oct 26 Ipswich (H) 91.3 +0.1
5-1 20 Oct 26 AEK Athens (H) 91.4 +0.1
2-1 24 Oct 26 Aston Villa (A) 91.9 +0.5
0-1 31 Oct 26 Brighton (H) 92.0 +0.1
Manchester United
Ranking: #18 overall, #8 in England

86.3 → 83.2 (-3.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 18 Oct 26 Leeds Utd (A) 84.7 -0.3
4-1 21 Oct 26 Como (A) 84.1 -0.6
0-3 25 Oct 26 Bournemouth (H) 83.4 -0.7
2-0 31 Oct 26 Chelsea (A) 82.7 -0.7
3-2 03 Nov 26 Roma (H) 83.2 +0.5

Manchester City vs Manchester United: by the numbers

Manchester City sit 13 places above Manchester United in our European rankings, and 6 places above them in England.

Manchester City arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Manchester United's -3.1.

Manchester United came away with their rating unchanged in the last contest between these two, on 13 September 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Manchester City have ever held is 99.5, first set on 6 September 2022.

Manchester United first climbed to joint #5 in our European rankings on 29 April 2021.