CD Nacional vs FC Arouca prediction | 21 Mar 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

CD Nacional Nacional Rating: 61.7
H
32%
21 Mar 2027
Primeira Liga
D
29%
FC Arouca Arouca Rating: 66.3
A
40%
CD Nacional
Ranking: #344 overall, #15 in Portugal

61.9 → 61.7 (-0.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 23 Aug Vitória (A) 61.7 -0.5
2-3 30 Aug Estrela (H) 60.6 -1.1
2-0 05 Sep Sporting CP (A) 60.5 -0.1
1-3 12 Sep Alverca (H) 61.2 +0.7
0-4 19 Sep Famalicão (H) 61.7 +0.5
FC Arouca
Ranking: #207 overall, #9 in Portugal

64.7 → 66.3 (+1.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 23 Aug Porto (A) 65.3 -0.2
2-1 29 Aug Marítimo (H) 65.7 +0.4
0-0 07 Sep Estoril (A) 65.7 0.0
1-2 13 Sep Santa Clara (H) 65.2 -0.5
2-2 19 Sep Sporting CP (A) 66.3 +1.1

CD Nacional vs FC Arouca: by the numbers

CD Nacional trail FC Arouca by 137 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 6 in Portugal.

Over their last 10 matches FC Arouca have moved +1.6 rating points, against -0.2 for CD Nacional.

FC Arouca gained 0.6 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 21 Feb 2026.

The highest CD Nacional have ever stood in our European rankings is #143, first reached on 6 Jan 2019.

FC Arouca first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 66.9 on 4 May 2025.