Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid prediction | 4 Apr 2027 | xGtoday


Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

89.4 → 90.2 (+0.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 04 Sep Betis (A) 90.9 +0.6
2-1 08 Sep Inter (H) 91.3 +0.4
4-1 12 Sep Rayo (H) 91.4 +0.1
2-3 15 Sep Elche (A) 91.7 +0.3
2-1 20 Sep Atl Madrid (A) 90.2 -1.5
Atlético Madrid
Ranking: #24 overall, #3 in Spain

80.6 → 81.9 (+1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-0 05 Sep Athletic Club (A) 78.5 -0.1
2-1 09 Sep Liverpool (A) 78.5 0.0
0-3 13 Sep Real Sociedad (A) 79.6 +1.1
4-0 16 Sep Osasuna (H) 80.4 +0.8
2-1 20 Sep Real Madrid (H) 81.9 +1.5

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid: by the numbers

There are 18 places between these two in our European rankings, with Real Madrid the higher, and 1 place between them in Spain.

Atlético Madrid arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Real Madrid's +0.8.

Real Madrid lost 1.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 20 September 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Real Madrid have ever held is 94.3, first set on 8 April 2018.

Atlético Madrid first climbed to joint #6 in our European rankings on 14 December 2019.